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Detroit Will Lose

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For the third straight season, the Detroit Pistons will not advance to the NBA Finals.  And, though I am a Celtics fan, this truth is a result not of Boston’s strength, but of Detroit’s weaknesses.  That assertion sounds crazy, I know.  The Pistons have become, along with the Spurs, the league’s standard for consistency since the 2001-02 season, never winning less than 50 games since.  In each of those trips to the playoffs, they have advanced past the first round.  Their current series is their sixth straight Eastern Conference Finals.  In 2004, the team upset the heavily-favored, star-laden Lakers to win the championship.  Despite their experience, history of success, winning mentality, clutch players, and toughness, however, the 2008 version of the Detroit Pistons is not presently constituted to win a championship.

That first paragraph may strike you as ridiculous and unfounded.  But I’m about to top the whole thing in one sentence.  Ready?

The Pistons’ defense isn’t good enough to win this series.

Before you refer me to a psychiatrist, hear me out.  As great as Chauncey Billups and Rip Hamilton are with a lead in a close game, the duo cannot consistently match baskets with another team’s go-to guy in the final minutes of a game, especially when trailing.  And if you think the Piston’s stellar defense can make up for that weakness, you’re wrong.  Since beating the Lakers in 2004, Detroit’s playoff history has been the history of opposing stars out-performing the Pistons in crunchtime. Continue reading

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